Marc Bertrand: Damage done by Bill Belichick’s lack of planning

On Wednesday's edition of Zolak & Bertrand, Marc Bertrand broke down the damage done by Bill Belichick's lack of planning.

Marc Bertrand: Had you had a better plan post Tom Brady for a quarterback, you're not in the position of needing to draft Mac Jones in that draft in 2021. You're in a position to take another talented player in the first round. So add that to the list of failures in building a roster that you were in a position where you had to take the quarterback in 2021 and therefore you missed on a bunch of other good guys. I would say letting Joe Thuney leave left you in a position of wanting to draft Cole Strange in the first round. Look how that's worked out. And that's another first round pick where you had to use it in a spot that you could have used on other good players that were in the draft.

Scott Zolak: Have you really replaced Marcus Cannon? Have you replaced... who's the other guy? Cam Fleming. Marcus Cannon was a pretty good fixture here for a while. You know, you really had to hold Trent Brown's hand when he was here without Dante Scarnecchia. But you're right. Like, you franchise Thuney, you better plan for him to leave and they didn't seem to plan for him. But they reached for a guy out of Tennessee Chattanooga that everybody laughed that.

Marc Bertrand: Everybody was laughing, including the L.A. Rams. They were literally laughing at the Patriots making that pick. But it just speaks to, again, leaving yourself high and dry at multiple positions, needing to then try and draft at those positions, using high picks to draft at those positions and ultimately missing on those picks, which if you could have redirected them to other positions of need, you may have had a better roster.

Scott Zolak: But let me ask you this too. Talk about Rob Gronkowski. Obviously, you know what happened with Aaron Hernandez, but they ended up getting Martellus Bennett to have a pretty good backup to Rob and a 1-2 tandem there. When those guys were done and left. What was the plan at tight end?

Marc Bertrand: They went into the draft.

Scott Zolak: Matt LaCosse?

Marc Bertrand: They took (Devin) Asiasi and (Dalton) Keene.

Scott Zolak: They failed at the draft again. Not only did they fail to draft at the tight end position, but at the receiver position. We can keep going... tackle position, guard position. I mean, I think Mike Onwenu is a good pick. They failed a lot of draft positions.

Welcome to the Week 14 edition of the 98.5 The Sports Hub New England Patriots Mailbag! With the Patriots on a short week - they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers on Thursday - we're doing the mailbag a little earlier this week.

Typically during a short week, coaching is a major focus. How well can the staff get the team prepared with less time than usual.

READ MORE:

--Top quarterback prospect opts out of bowl game
--Bill Belichick answers a big question about the Patriots' 2023 draft class
--Why the Patriots' quarterback change came this week

Based on the questions for the mailbag this week, coaching is in fact a focus this week. But with the team at 2-10, there's more attention being paid to the future of the staff than how the current staff is getting the team ready for this game.

With those questions and more, let's get started with this week's Mailbag...

It depends what happens with the head coaching job. If Bill Belichick stays it feels like Bill O'Brien likely would, but it's hard to say the offensive performance this year has justified that.

If the Patriots replace Belichick with a less experienced defensive head coach - likely Jerod Mayo - then it makes more sense to keep O'Brien on as an experienced offensive mind. That's the kind of OC the Patriots will need with a younger defensive coach and those kinds of coaches often aren't available - Josh McDaniels is the only other name that comes to mind. Let's say the Patriots go completely outside the organization and bring in an offensive minded head coach - guys like Ben Johnson, Eric Bieniemy, or Bobby Slowik - then it's hard to see what O'Brien's role would be.

At this point, it seems unlikely that decreased attendance would change Robert Kraft's approach to the coaching staff this year. If starting 2-10 didn't trigger instant action, it's hard to imagine some empty seats down the stretch would change anything.

That's not to say that Kraft is O.K. with a less than full stadium. I doubt he is. But that reality is a symptom of a bigger problem. If and when a coaching change is made the driving force behind that decision would likely be the performance on the field, not the resulting lack of enthusiasm from the fan base about the team.

Another reason I don't think Bill Belichick will get fired in-season is that once the Patriots fire him, they can no longer trade him. In order to get anything in return for Belichick's departure, the Patriots have to let him finish out the season.

As to what that return could be? Given the New Orleans Saints got a first-round pick for Sean Payton a year ago, that's where the negotiations should start. Belichick has a better resume than Payton, wasn't removed from the league for a year, and already had a contract in place. Maybe that gets negotiated down to a second-round pick, but anything in the top 50 would be a realistic expectation.

This one is tough, because there's not a lot of precedent here. The closest, most recent trade had the Bears giving up two third-round picks to move up from the third overall selection to second to draft Mitch Trubisky in 2017. The last time the first overall pick was traded was in 2016, but that was for the 15th overall selection so it's a very different circumstance.

According to the Trade Value Chart, a team picking second overall would have to give up its first and second round picks as well as the equivalent of another top-50 pick to make the deal work. The chart doesn't always hold true, but even to move up the one spot would take a significant cost (keep in mind the value drop between the first and second overall picks is the biggest from any one pick to another in the draft).

Right now (and subject to change) this is my favorite draft scenario for the Patriots. Move down slightly and take LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels around five or six overall, then use the assets received from that deal to move back into the first round and take one of the receivers from the second tier at that position behind Marvin Harrison Jr - either Rome Odunze from Washington, Malik Nabers from LSU, or Keon Coleman from Florida State.

It's not that Daniels is necessarily better than Caleb Williams or Drake Maye as a prospect outright. But I do believe that the gap is close enough that the combination of Daniels and one of those receivers (I personally like Odunze best from that bunch) is a greater foundation to build on that just Williams or Maye alone.

As Mark points out, the Patriots' offensive line has been an issue this year. Is the group a total tear down? Not entirely.

Trent Brown could be a part of the solution, but throughout the season he's sounded like a player determined to hit free agency and get the biggest payday possible. In a down year for tackles, there's a chance he'll have a very competitive market.

Sidy Sow looks like he can be a part of the Patriots' offensive line moving forwards. The 2023 fourth-round pick has played much better as of late at right guard, after a rough start to the season. Whether Mike Onwenu returns as a right tackle or leaves outright, the Patriots should feel comfortable turning the right guard position over to Sow next year.

Then there's Cole Strange, who will be entering his third NFL season. Strange failed to take the expected jump from Year 1 to Year 2, and while he's been competitive still is dealing with the power issues he couldn't overcome last year. What ends up happening with Strange in 2024 could come down to what happens with the coaching staff and front office. If no changes are made, the current group would likely stand by their recent first-round pick. A new GM wouldn't be as tied to Strange, and could look for an upgrade.

Alex Barth is a writer and digital producer for 985TheSportsHub.com. Any opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of 98.5 The Sports Hub, Beasley Media Group, or any subsidiaries. Thoughts? Comments? Questions? Looking for a podcast guest? Let him know on Twitter @RealAlexBarth or via email at abarth@985TheSportsHub.com.