How believable is this J.J. McCarthy Patriots rumor?
Former Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy has rapidly risen up draft boards and become a popular target for the New England Patriots … but is he, really?
If you’re to believe the latest hot draft rumor on McCarthy, he’s drawing plenty of interest from the Patriots, particularly de facto GM Eliot Wolf. That’s what Tony Pauline is hearing, based on his latest mock draft at Sportskeeda. Here’s what Pauline’s got:
I’m not big on McCarthy being a top-10 selection, but the UM signal caller to New England was the buzz on the pro-day circuit. De facto general manager Eliot Wolf is pushing hard for McCarthy, and he believes he has as much upside as any quarterback in this draft.
National champion J.J. McCarthy is heavily rumored as a possible Patriots target in the 2024 draft. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
This is not a knock on Pauline or his reporting, because this is what everyone hears, says, and writes this time of year. But it’s called “The Lying Season” for a reason. Reporters may be hearing from sources, but that doesn’t make the buzz reality.
So, the best course of action around the draft is to pull a George Costanza and believe the opposite of everything you hear. And what’s the opposite of everything? Nothing. So no, I don’t believe the McCarthy-Patriots buzz. I choose to believe nothing, really.
If you want to keep your pre-draft sanity intact, just sit back and wait to see what actually happens, on planet earth. Patriots head coach Jerod Mayo has said so much in his public appearances that it’s hard to believe any of it. So believe none of it. Simple as that. Since when is a prospect so heavily rumored to go to a certain team and actually goes to said team?
That’s why if you ask me what I really think is going to happen, I’d predict a trade-down by the Patriots, and if they draft a quarterback, it’s the one guy they’ve had no direct connections to in the pre-draft lead-up, Washington’s Michael Penix Jr. But everything is hard to believe this time of year. The lying season, indeed.
MORE: Barth’s Mock Draft Mailbag 2.0
We have not McCarthy, but LSU’s Jayden Daniels, going to the Patriots at the No. 3 pick in our newest mock draft, which you can check out below.
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Matt Dolloff is a writer and podcaster for 985TheSportsHub.com. Any opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of 98.5 The Sports Hub, Beasley Media Group, or any subsidiaries. Check out all of Matt’s content.
Dolloff's Patriots Mock Draft 2.0: Grabbing 2 first-rounders
The New England Patriots need a quarterback, and the people in charge won’t let them get out of the 2024 NFL Draft without one.
At least, that’s what it sounds like, when you listen to Patriots owner Robert Kraft. Though he claimed to be hands-off when it comes to the football operation, Kraft does run the organization, and can influence major decisions in any area, if he so pleases. Kraft also recently said that he would like to see the Patriots get a “top-rate young quarterback,” so hands-off, he is not.
As they sit at the No. 3 pick in the draft, with three highly rated quarterback prospects available at the top, the Patriots have it lined up for them too perfectly not to simply stay at 3 and take one. It’s arguably just as risky to pass on one of these guys, and we’re not expecting ownership to let them do that, anyway.
So, let’s kick off a new Patriots mock draft with another new QB…
Round 1, Pick No. 3:
QB Jayden Daniels, LSU
In the latest Patriots mock draft, Jayden Daniels heads to the Patriots at No. 3 overall. (Photo by Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images)
Yes, Daniels has risen as high as No. 2 on a lot of big boards, and he’s become heavily rumored as the Commanders’ pick at second overall. But that was before the pro days. For the purposes of this Patriots fan-fiction, Washington opts for UNC’s Drake Maye or Michigan’s J.J. McCarthy, allowing the dynamic Daniels to slip to the Patriots at third.
The 2023 Heisman Trophy winner is an exceptional athlete, with a very good arm and elite running ability, the kind of dual threat that can thrive in today’s NFL. He’s also commended for his football intelligence and ability to make passes from the pocket, and not always on his first read. His combination of physical and mental acumen gives him a chance to start right away.
MORE: Patriots have top quarterback prospect ‘squarely on their radar’
The obvious concern with Daniels is his relatively wiry build at 6-foot-4 and only 210 pounds. That, combined with his running and a propensity to hold the ball too long, make him a five-alarm injury risk. It would be wise for his new team to make sure he can consistently get rid of the ball quickly from the pocket and keep himself out of physical danger.
Self-preservation is the name of the game with Daniels, because as long as he’s on the field, he has a chance to be a high-end playmaker at the NFL level. That’s why he’s a virtual certainty to go in the top-3 of the draft. Here, the Patriots hope they land their next franchise quarterback.
Round 1, Pick No. 25:
WR Brian Thomas Jr., LSU
Sean Gardner/Getty Images
The Patriots pull a Bengals and pair their new franchise quarterback with one of his receivers from college. Thomas was merely the No. 2 receiver at LSU behind elite prospect Malik Nabers, but he has excellent physical tools that give him No. 1 potential.
Thomas stands at 6-foot-3 and 209 pounds, the kind of size you love to see in an outside receiver – and the kind that Eliot Wolf has historically liked. He has the speed to separate down the field and be a dependable big-play guy early in his career.
Though a very intriguing prospect due to his pure physical abilities, Thomas is generally described as an unrefined route-runner. That, and he’ll need to get better against press-man coverage for when the separation isn’t there.
But, Thomas has enough high-end physical talent to immediately become the Patriots’ new No. 1 receiver, with an extremely high ceiling.
Round 3, Pick No. 91:
TE Cade Stover, Ohio State
Ben Jackson/Getty Images
After sitting out 65 picks in a row, the Patriots end up with one of the draft’s best tight end prospects. Stover is a converted defensive lineman who has shown impressive ability as a pass-catcher at his new position. Stover’s route-running, hands, and elusiveness after the catch give him potential to be a versatile weapon.
As one might expect for this type of player, Stover does have to work on his blocking, and the elevated competition at the NFL level will give him room to refine his receiving skills. But as he comes to a Patriots team with two veteran tight ends atop the depth chart, Stover would have plenty of time to develop.
Round 4, Pick No. 103:
OT Matt Goncalves, Pittsburgh
Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
The Patriots have so many major needs, especially on offense, that they were never really going to be able to fix all of them in a single draft. So, the area where they take the hit is at tackle. But Goncalves is an intriguing prospect that would make for a good priority day 3 pick to develop with the Patriots.
Goncalves is 6-foot-6 with good-enough arm length at 33 1/4 inches, and he has experience at both tackle spots. He was also a team captain at Pittsburgh, which is a plus. He’ll need to refine his techniques to make up for a lack of high-end athleticism at the position, but he has the upside of a tackle that can develop into a starter.
Round 6, Pick No. 180:
QB Joe Milton III, Texas
Eakin Howard/Getty Images
This one’s for my colleague Alex Barth, who has easily the best description of Joe Milton in the entire football world. Barth denies actually liking Milton as a prospect, so, if only to mildly annoy our resident draft expert, we’re going to take a flyer on him for a QB-needy Patriots team.
Milton has elite size at 6-foot-5 and an absolute cannon of a throwing arm, but his lack of development over six years in college has made him a frustrating prospect. But if there’s any team in the league that should take a chance on him and see if THEY can unlock his potential, it’s the Patriots.
Round 6, Pick No. 193:
CB Johnny Dixon, Penn State
Rich Schultz/Getty Images
It would be smart for the Patriots to get out of this draft with a new cornerback, and Dixon checks some boxes that the Pats historically have liked at the position. He plays a physical press-man style and can make it hard on receivers at the catch point, and he also has experience as a blitzer.
The concerns with Dixon mostly go back to a relative lack of size and play strength, which could limit him against outside receivers at the highest level. But his man cover skills could help him surprise people as a day-3 pick.
Round 7, Pick No. 231:
OT Julian Pearl, Illinois
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images
Pearl is the ideal type of prospect for the Patriots to gamble on in the seventh round. He fills a positional need, he’s athletic, and he has the requisite size and length. The issues are with his techniques and overall play strength, but these are things that could potentially be coached up and/or improved.
The Patriots would come out of this draft with the tackle position remaining a work in progress, but Pearl is a nice project to take on with a pick in the 200s.
