Patriots draft picks improve dramatically after Week 13 results
There’s a silver lining to this dreary season in New England: the Patriots’ draft picks continue to improve for 2024.
That’s the unfortunate reality for fans of basement-dwelling NFL teams, but the Patriots have only sunk deeper into the abyss as the 2023 season has gone along, so here we are. After falling to 2-10 with a depressing loss to the Chargers, their chances of a top-3 pick stayed strong. And after the Arizona Cardinals beat the Pats’ opponent this week, the Pittsburgh Steelers, to improve to 3-10, the Patriots’ top pick slid firmly up to the No. 2 spot in the 2024 NFL Draft.
The Carolina Panthers lost to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to fall to 1-10, which kept them in the top spot of the draft, a pick that now belongs to the Chicago Bears. But the Patriots still have a good chance of staying in the top-2 by the end of the season, according to ESPN Analytics’ prediction model.
ESPN analytics writer Seth Walder posted the latest chances of teams to have the first or second pick in the 2024 NFL Draft on X, and unsurprisingly, the Bears are at 93 percent. The Patriots, meanwhile, have a 60 percent chance of landing a top-2 pick. Next in line are the aforementioned Cardinals, but at only 22 percent. Walder noted that the odds will be adjusted slightly after Week 13 is totally done, but we imagine the Patriots will stay definitively in the No. 2 slot. Pick 34 in the second round and 66 in the third round will also give them a chance to draft legitimate starters or better.
There’s a chance the odds only continue to slide in the Patriots’ favor. The Cardinals are playing better since the return of quarterback Kyler Murray, while the Patriots offense just continues to sink to new lows. Week 18 against the Jets is the only game left that feels remotely winnable.
So, this is how it is in New England now. Fans need to root for the Patriots’ draft picks, rather than the Patriots themselves. Good news in that department, though: they’ll be primed to take a top quarterback or wide receiver prospect.
Read more about the Patriots’ latest loss below, including some good performances on defense – and not so much on offense.