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Is Bill Belichick “fighting his final war” with the Patriots?

Zolak and Bertrand were joined by Albert Breer of The MMQB to discuss the fallout from the Patriots 0-2 start, whether their offense can round into form, and if Bill…

Sep 17, 2023; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick watches from the sideline as they take on the Miami Dolphins at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

Zolak and Bertrand were joined by Albert Breer of The MMQB to discuss the fallout from the Patriots 0-2 start, whether their offense can round into form, and if Bill Belichick's philosophy is finally running it's course.

Mac Jones

Sep 17, 2023; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones (10) runs the ball against the Miami Dolphins in the second half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

Reasons for optimism with the Patriots offense?

"The run game has not been close to what we thought it would be coming into the year. I thought this was going to be a really good run game. It hasn't been close to that yet. You can either look at that and say that was supposed to be the identity of the offense. Or you could look at it and say that's eventually going to get fixed. And Mac has played well without having the benefit of a great run game behind him. So it sort of depends on your perspective on it. But I think that the the offensive line, which I was saying when everybody was obsessing over DeAndre Hopkins, this had a chance to be a real problem. Right now it is a real problem and even when you get Trent Brown back, can you rely on him to be in the lineup the rest of the way? .. So I just I look at that tackle position in that tackle position sort of where I thought it would be, which is it's a real problem. What's really jarring to me is how it's become a problem in the run game now where it feels like maybe you're having trouble getting yourself going in that phase. Now, I didn't anticipate that it would be as big an issue in the run game as has been."

Belichick

Sep 17, 2023; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick watches from the sideline as they take on the Miami Dolphins at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

Belichick 'fighting his final war'?

"I was talking to a guy who who who'd been in the division before, who's been in the league for a long time. And he said it's almost like Bill is fighting the final war with this group and that they had a philosophy and way that they played for 20 years. And it wasn't always exactly this, but you guys obviously are familiar with this, which is it's almost this gamble that we're going to be really consistent. And we bet you can't be that consistent. And forcing teams to go in to go on twelve and fourteen play drives and building an offense that's capable of doing that. And so much of that was over the years. 'we bet that you're going to throw up on your shoes.' Well, guess what? Now you don't have Tom Brady anymore. So it's much harder for you to be consistent for twelve or fourteen plays in a row and go on those sorts of touchdown drives. And oh, by the way, offensive football across the NFL has gotten better. So there are more teams that are capable of doing that on you." 

LISTEN: Albert Breer joins Zolak & Bertrand

Patriots Mailbag: Offensive personnel, pressure, and predictions

It's been an unquestionably slow start for the New England Patriots' offense through two games in 2023. After last week's 24-17 loss to the Miami Dolphins the team is averaging 18.5 points per game. That is tied for the 22nd-most in the NFL to this point, putting the Patriots side-by-side with the Chicago Bears and, oddly enough, the Kansas City Chiefs.

Coming off of an offseason what was supposed to be about offensive overhaul, it looks like the new coaching staff on that side of the ball led by offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach Bill O'Brien and offensive line coach Adrian Klemm is still figuring things out.


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Some of those adjustments could come in the form of personnel changes - whether that be adjusting formations or groupings. It's something a lot of you has questions about for this week's Mailbag.

We'll get into those, but where the team goes after an 0-2 start, and some bigger-picture questions as well. Plus, an early peak ahead at the Jets matchup this Sunday. Let's get into it...

Great question here from Andrew. I was wondering about Ty Montgomery's usage myself after Sunday's game.

With their offensive line issues, the Patriots seem to be running more ground concepts that prioritize getting the back out of the tackle box as quickly as possible (tosses, sweeps, etc.). Given that, it would make sense to get more speed at that position so the back can get out of harms way as fast as possible and attack the edge earlier in the play. As the team is built right now, that player would be Montgomery.

Through two games Montgomery has played just 10 offensive snaps - eight lined up as a receiver and two lined up in the backfield. If the Patriots want to jump-start their ground game, which is currently averaging 3.5 yards per carry, giving Montgomery a look should be a consideration.

Interestingly enough I think Chad Johnson - yes, Ochocinco - may have helped answer this question when I talked to him last week. Reflecting on his own tenure in New England, which was during Bill O'Brien's first stint as offensive coordinator, Johnson recalled how costly it was for him to miss the offseason program.

"I think what I didn’t get is, I didn’t get the offseason program and I didn’t get a chance to really integrate myself and submerge myself into the offense as much as I would have liked to be somewhat efficient," Johnson told me on Sunday when I asked him about O'Brien's offense and what it's like for wide receivers. "So I could have given the Pats fans the old Chad that we were used to seeing and having fun and being very productive."

Unlike Johnson, who was acquired via trade in late July of 2011, JuJu Smith-Schuster wasn't completely unavailable for the offseason program this spring. He was in the building, but didn't take part in any on-field work due to his lingering knee injury. That lack of work with Mac Jones and the rest of the offense as a whole could certainly be contributing to his slow start. Any lingering impact from the knee injury, which he suffered in last year's playoffs while with the Kansas City Chiefs, could be a factor as well.

The chances of seeing this are probably low at best. Although Mike Onwenu has proven himself to be a capable NFL right tackle, the Patriots haven't even toyed around with putting him at that spot since last season. Given he's coming off an injury and seems to still be limited to begin with, I'd say the odds are even lower than usual.

For what they have right now, Calvin Anderson is still the best fit at right tackle (assuming they won't put Mike Onwenu over there). I know some people are excited about the idea of La'el Collins, but he is 30 years old and coming off a torn ACL and MCL. There is a reason he started the season on PUP in Cincinnati. Given how desperate teams around the league, not just the Patriots, are for quality offensive line play, the fact he's still unsigned is a bit of a red flag.

O'Brien's first two weeks have been a mixed bag. The offense has certainly improved and makes much more sense from a technical standpoint, but they haven't come far enough. Some of the play-calling has been very conservative, especially situationally. It's tough to tell if that's them compensating for their offensive line issues, or if that's their overall philosophy this year regardless.

Moving forward I believe O'Brien's focus will be on sustaining drives - especially given his comments Tuesday morning. In terms of moving the ball the Patriots are actually doing a relatively good job - their 335 yards per game so far ranks 14th in the NFL, up from the 26th spot where they finished last season. Yet their scoring is down. He pointed out that in just two games the Patriots have had six drives get inside the opponents 30-yard line without resulting in points. That trend needs to change for this team to start winning games.

It would be great if the Patriots could get more from either Rhamondre Stevenson or Ezekiel Elliott, but I don't think either is the biggest issue for the Patriots' ground game right now. It's the offensive line.

After two weeks, PFF has the Patriots with an overall 'rushing' grade of 80.6. That number, which reflects mainly the actual ball-carrier, ranks third in the NFL. However, their run blocking grade is 39.1 - last in the league.

This is also reflected in where the Patriots have and haven't been able to run the ball. When rushing between the tackles this year, they're averaging just 2.28 yards per carry on 36 carries. When running outside of the tackle box, where setting the play up is more about spacing and leverage than linemen winning at the point of attack,  that average jumps to 7.8 yards per carry on 10 carries.

I'd disagree that the entire defensive front has been disappointing to this point. In addition to Matthew JudonKeion White has gotten off to a very strong start. Deatrich Wise has been mostly a plus as well, but did have two costly penalties in the opener.

When it comes to Josh Uche, the impact has been there - just not the production. Uche leads the team with six hurries and is tied with Judon for the team lead with eight pressures through two games. His pass-rush grade of 89 is the highest on the Patriots and sixth-highest among all edge players in the league.

As for Christian Barmore, he's surprisingly shown up more as a run defender than pass rusher. If he can get back to playing like he was last year on passing downs before getting hurt, he'd have a real chance to make a three-down impact.

This will likely depend on the status of Jonathan Jones and Marcus Jones for the game - and for other games moving forwards. If the Patriots are at full strength in the secondary, they'll probably want to empty the bucket as much as possible and throw as many looks as they can at opposing quarterbacks. Being shorthanded though could force them to simplify. If that's the case, then it would make sense to have Christian Gonzalez shadow Garrett Wilson, with the rest of the defense 'playing 10-on-10.'

Why not?

After Sunday night's loss to Miami was as somber as I've seen the Patriots' locker room post-game in quite some time (to be fair, I wasn't in Las Vegas last year). I think players understood the way in which that game slipped through their fingers.

This is where the Patriots will need to lean on their leadership to pull the group together. They still can dig out of this 0-2 hole they've started in, but close losses like this can lead to things spiraling. Having the right emotional response this week, starting with their first practice of the week on Wednesday, will be important.

It feels like we're getting there with Hunter Henry, doesn't it? He's been the Patriots' best pass-catcher through two games, leading the team with 11 catches for 108 yards and two touchdowns. This comes after he was the most consistent player over the summer.

When talking about Henry's future though, it's worth bringing Mac Jones into the conversation. When the time comes with Henry - if the Patriots feel they're going to extend Jones as well, it makes all the sense in the world to keep his favorite target in the building. Yet if the Patriots know they're moving on from Jones, it suddenly makes less sense to keep a 30-year old high-paid tight end around through a rebuilt.

So, we've got a ways to go before answering this question. But for now, Henry is trending in the right direction.

This scenario certainly isn't unrealistic. The Patriots' scheduled is structured the same way it has been the last few years - tough up front, easier in the middle, then a gauntlet down the stretch. That middle part is shorter than it's been in recent years, but besides that it's certainly similar. If the Patriots want to avoid a similar fate to the last few years, they're going to have to pull out some upsets in December and early January.

On offense I'd say the Patriots' most athletic/explosive players are Kendrick Bourne and Demario Douglas. Defensively, I'd go with Kyle DuggerChristian GonzalezMarte MapuJa'Whaun BentleyMatthew Judon, and Keion White.

Maybe there's some miscommunication here, but to me they're the same statement. If Mac Jones is playing well enough for the team to win, yet the team isn't winning, doesn't that put the onus for improvement on others on the roster? I guess my point is while there's room for Jones to improve after the first two games, but he's hardly been their biggest issue. If his immediate improvement was the biggest question at this point, they'd be projected as a playoff team right now.

This is what's so frustrating about this Patriots team. In a bubble, they've showed plenty of encouraging signs that make you think 'if they can just clean up the little things, they'll be O.K.' The mistakes they've made so far aren't that uncommon for a team early in the year.

But this team doesn't exist in a bubble. The early season issues that seem easy to clean up? They've haven't been able to do that for a few years now. Is this team different? Do they deserve the benefit of the doubt? That depends how much faith you have in Bill O'Brien and Adrian Klemm.

I'll echo my point from above here. Yes, if they stop turning the ball over they do have the upside of a playoff team. But they need to actually stop turning it over for that to matter. Can they make that adjustment without becoming too conservative offensively?

To keep the theme of the last two answers going - they need to stop with the self-inflicted mistakes. Turnovers, bad penalties, poor in-game managements, etc. The biggest thing the Patriots need to change from the first two games is do less to get in their own way.

Yes, the Patriots have looked good up-tempo. But part of the reason for that (and this applies to most teams around the league) is that simply changing the tempo is enough to throw the defense off rhythm. If the team moves to an up-tempo offense full time, they lose that change and it cuts into the effectiveness of the tactic. There's certainly an argument to be made for going up-tempo more often than they have through two games, but there's a point where it becomes too much as well.

Alex Barth is a writer and digital producer for 985TheSportsHub.com. Any opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of 98.5 The Sports Hub, Beasley Media Group, or any subsidiaries. Thoughts? Comments? Questions? Looking for a podcast guest? Let him know on Twitter @RealAlexBarth or via email at abarth@985TheSportsHub.com.

Tom Morgan is the executive producer of the award-winning Zolak & Bertrand show. He got his start in radio as the midday intern in 2010 before joining the show full-time in 2014. A graduate of Northeastern University, Tom has been a lifelong sports fan with a passion for Boston sports that continues to drive him to this day. A native of Cohasset, MA, he enjoys spending time with family, his three brothers and his nephews and nieces. He is a coffee enthusiast who is fluent in the language of Seinfeld quotes. Tom writes about all New England sports from Patriots football to Boston Celtics and Boston Bruins.