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Joe Murray

Week 18 NFL Picks and Podcast

Author Joe Murray
EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - DECEMBER 31: Puka Nacua #17 of the Los Angeles Rams runs the ball during the second half against the New York Giants during a game at MetLife Stadium on December 31, 2023 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Mike Lawrence/Getty Images)

The regular season comes to an end with the NFL’s Week 18. There are a few games that have playoff implications with the big one on Sunday Night Football for the AFC Championship. Week 18 can be a tough week to bet with some teams having nothing to play for.  There are a few teams that are in must win spots to make the playoffs or even have a chance.  Per the Action Network, Historically, it has been profitable to fade teams who “need” to win at the end of the regular season. Since 1990, eliminated teams playing teams that need to win over the final two weeks of the regular season have gone 100-64-4 (61.0%) against the spread (ATS).

For Week 18 this season, the following eliminated teams fit this trend:
* Panthers +5.5 vs. Bucs
* Titans +5.5 vs. Jaguars
* Cardinals +3 vs. Seahawks
* Bears +3 at Packers

 

DraftKings Sportsbook on Twitter: "Week 18 NFL spreads 👇BAL +3.5 vs PITIND +1 vs HOUCAR +5.5 vs TBTEN +5.5 vs JAXDET -3 vs MINCIN -6 vs CLENO -3.5 vs ATLNE -2 vs NYJNYG +5.5 vs PHIWAS +13 vs DALGB -3 vs CHILAC -3 vs KCSF -3.5 vs LARARI +2.5 vs SEALV -2.5 vs DENMIA +3 vs BUF pic.twitter.com/CF4A7Nd6CF / Twitter"

Week 18 NFL spreads 👇BAL +3.5 vs PITIND +1 vs HOUCAR +5.5 vs TBTEN +5.5 vs JAXDET -3 vs MINCIN -6 vs CLENO -3.5 vs ATLNE -2 vs NYJNYG +5.5 vs PHIWAS +13 vs DALGB -3 vs CHILAC -3 vs KCSF -3.5 vs LARARI +2.5 vs SEALV -2.5 vs DENMIA +3 vs BUF pic.twitter.com/CF4A7Nd6CF

 

Seven different win totals are in the balance entering Week 18:

Eagles 11.5
Bills 10.5
Jaguars 9.5
Broncos 8.5
Seattle 8.5
Bears 7.5
Cardinals 4.5

 

Lets take a look at the Week 18 betting lines

  • Steelers (-3.5, 38 o/u) at Ravens

Saturday 4:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN

 

  • Texans at Colts (-1, 47 o/u)

Saturday 8:15 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN

 

  • Browns at Bengals (-4.5, 39.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

 

  • Vikings at Lions (-6, 46.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

 

  • Jaguars (-3.5, 40 o/u) at Titans

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

 

  • Jets at Patriots (-2. 33 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

 

  • Falcons (+3.5, 41.5 o/u) over Saints

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

 

  • Bears at Packers (-3, 44 o/u)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

 

  •  Cowboys (-13.5, 48 o/u) at Commanders

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

 

  • Broncos at Raiders (-2.5, 38 o/u)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

 

  • Eagles (-5.5, 45.5 o/u) at Giants

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

 

  • Seahawks (-3, 47.5 o/u) at Cardinals

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

 

  • Chiefs at Chargers (-1, 35.5 o/u)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

 

  • Rams at 49ers (-3.5, 42.5 o/u)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

 

  • AFC Game of the Week: Bills (-3, 50 o/u) at Dolphins

Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

 

 

Check out the Week 18 Over/Under Podcast with Joe Murray and Dan Lifshatz.  The guys also discussed the College Football National Championship.

 

 

Joe Murray has worked behind the scenes and on-air in New England since 2007. Murray was born and raised in Boston (Hyde Park) and is now living on the North Shore in Peabody. A graduate of CSB School of Broadcasting, Joe was hired at 98.5 The Sports Hub in 2011 and is the host of Patriots Postgame and the Over/Under Podcast with Dan Lifshatz. Joe was hired as the full-time night show host in 2023, and a featured guest for “The Weekly Spread” on NBC Sports Boston during football season. Joe writes about all New England sports from Patriots football to Boston Celtics and Boston Bruins.

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